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CPI

US Consumer Price Index (CPI)

America's headline inflation reading, and the release that moves rate expectations — and with them the dollar and gold — most.

Published by
US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)
Frequency
Monthly
When
Usually around the middle of the month, for the previous month's prices. Exact dates are on the BLS schedule.
Time
8:30 a.m. New York time: 15:30 in Mecca/Riyadh while the US is on daylight time (March to November), 16:30 otherwise.

What is CPI?

It tracks the price of a basket of goods and services US consumers buy. Two figures are published: headline CPI, and core CPI, which leaves out food and energy because they swing the most. Each is read month-on-month and year-on-year.

Why does it move markets?

The Federal Reserve sets rates around inflation, so a hotter-than-expected print usually raises the odds of higher rates: the dollar tends to rise and gold to fall, and a cooler print tends to do the opposite. What moves the market is the gap between the actual figure and the forecast, not the figure alone.

What traders watch

  • Core CPI month-on-month is the figure markets weigh most.
  • The gap between the actual figure and the consensus shown in the calendar.
  • Any revisions to earlier months.

Most affected instruments

USDXAUUSDEURUSDUSDJPYUS500

Official schedule

Exact release dates are published in advance by the issuer:

BLS CPI release schedule

Next release in the economic calendar

From TradingView, in your device's time zone. Look for “CPI” in the list.

Before you trade the release

  • Spreads widen sharply in the minutes around the release, and orders can fill at a worse price than asked (slippage).
  • Some brokers raise margin or restrict orders around major news. Read your broker's terms beforehand.
  • The first move can reverse within minutes. Set your position size and stop before the number comes out, not after.

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Educational explanation, not investment advice. Market reactions to any release are not guaranteed and can run against the usual pattern.